Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.002209 0.002333 0.002464 0.002613 0.002780 0.002963 0.003178
2025-03-02 0.002000 0.002167 0.002353 0.002577 0.002844 0.003156 0.003557
2025-03-09 0.001840 0.002029 0.002247 0.002521 0.002862 0.003286 0.003871
2025-03-16 0.001768 0.001981 0.002234 0.002565 0.002998 0.003568 0.004419
2025-03-23 0.001706 0.001936 0.002217 0.002597 0.003116 0.003837 0.005002
2025-03-30 0.001630 0.001867 0.002163 0.002571 0.003147 0.003986 0.005433
2025-04-06 0.001549 0.001786 0.002085 0.002505 0.003114 0.004029 0.005696
2025-04-13 0.001491 0.001731 0.002038 0.002477 0.003128 0.004144 0.006109
2025-04-20 0.001405 0.001634 0.001929 0.002354 0.002990 0.003996 0.005987
2025-04-27 0.001370 0.001603 0.001907 0.002352 0.003034 0.004152 0.006513
2025-05-04 0.001358 0.001601 0.001923 0.002404 0.003167 0.004481 0.007531
2025-05-11 0.001328 0.001574 0.001902 0.002402 0.003210 0.004653 0.008256
2025-05-18 0.001315 0.001570 0.001917 0.002456 0.003359 0.005069 0.009928
2025-05-25 0.001278 0.001532 0.001881 0.002430 0.003369 0.005213 0.010912
2025-06-01 0.001236 0.001487 0.001833 0.002382 0.003335 0.005255 0.011596
2025-06-08 0.001224 0.001481 0.001840 0.002423 0.003466 0.005695 0.014373
2025-06-15 0.001208 0.001471 0.001841 0.002452 0.003579 0.006127 0.018035
2025-06-22 0.001180 0.001441 0.001811 0.002429 0.003587 0.006297 0.020649
2025-06-29 0.001145 0.001399 0.001762 0.002370 0.003519 0.006247 0.021603
2025-07-06 0.001119 0.001372 0.001733 0.002344 0.003514 0.006376 0.024620
2025-07-13 0.001074 0.001314 0.001657 0.002233 0.003328 0.005957 0.021450
2025-07-20 0.001058 0.001298 0.001644 0.002231 0.003366 0.006197 0.025962
2025-07-27 0.001055 0.001301 0.001660 0.002278 0.003514 0.006814 0.040770